According to household surveys, inflation expectations tend to move together with expectations for gasoline price changes.

Most housing research relies on a single-margin model where a single housing price relates to a single housing quantity. We ...

Watch Mary Daly discuss inflation, recent shocks, AI investment demand and the Fed’s outlook on Bloomberg Surveillance.

Following decades of secular decline, many estimates of r∗—the natural or steady-state short-term real interest rate—have risen roughly 1 percentage point since 2020 in the United States. The most ...

The U.S. unemployment rate has trended down for decades. Estimates after removing business cycle fluctuations show that the trend rate fell from 7.8% in 1976 to 4.8% in 2024. This decline reflects in ...

Since employment dynamics are persistent, a central bank’s dual mandate to promote maximum employment and price stability ...

The Daily News Sentiment Index is a high frequency measure of economic sentiment based on lexical analysis of economics-related news articles. The index is described in Buckman, Shapiro, Sudhof, and ...

This data series is part of the Center for Monetary Research. The Treasury yield premium model by Jens H.E. Christensen and Glenn D. Rudebusch (CR) decomposes the nominal yield curve into three ...

This data series is part of the Center for Monetary Research. Treasury Yield Skewness is a daily indicator measuring the risks to the future outlook for interest rates, based on prices of Treasury ...