Huiyu Li, research advisor at the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, shared views on the current economy and the outlook ...
According to household surveys, inflation expectations tend to move together with expectations for gasoline price changes.
Economic activity in the Twelfth District was little changed during the July to mid-August reporting period. Employers largely maintained employment levels. Wages were up slightly. Prices rose ...
The U.S. unemployment rate has trended down for decades. Estimates after removing business cycle fluctuations show that the ...
Following decades of secular decline, many estimates of r∗—the natural or steady-state short-term real interest rate—have risen roughly 1 percentage point since 2020 in the United States. The most ...
Most housing research relies on a single-margin model where a single housing price relates to a single housing quantity. We ...
Since employment dynamics are persistent, a central bank’s dual mandate to promote maximum employment and price stability ...
The Daily News Sentiment Index is a high frequency measure of economic sentiment based on lexical analysis of economics-related news articles. The index is described in Buckman, Shapiro, Sudhof, and ...
Following decades of secular decline, many estimates of r∗—the natural or steady-state short-term real interest rate—have risen roughly 1 percentage point since 2020 in the United States. The most ...
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