US 10-year Treasury yield tops 4.75% as oil prices and hawkish Fed rhetoric drive rate hike expectations above 55%, with ...

The US War Department has launched OpenAI ChatGPT Mil on GenAI.mil, bringing the AI platform to more than 3 million personnel ...

Anthropic's IPO delays other U.S. listings as firms adjust schedules. Market cap below $1.25T at IPO close priced at 2% YES.

Anthropic's $965B valuation and post-Labor Day IPO timeline are forcing rival companies, including OpenAI, to delay their own ...

Oil prices jumped 3% to over $90 amid US-Iran military exchanges. New all-time high for crude oil by December 31 at 12.5% YES ...

Iran sentenced ten protesters to death amid a crackdown. Regime fall by September 30 at 1.3% YES; by end of 2026 at 6.5% YES.

Bank of England governor Andrew Bailey warned G20 leaders that frontier AI models threaten global financial stability, urging ...

This article examines how recent events may relate to prediction market pricing. It reflects interpretive analysis of ...

Treasury yields hit three-year highs as a Fed rate hike looms. Fed pause in next three decisions at 43.5% YES.

Trump warns communities opposing data centers will become 'backwards and poor' as 75 projects worth $130 billion stall amid ...

Russia strikes Kyiv for the fifth day, indicating a prolonged campaign. Entry into Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026 at 46.5% ...

Tehran theater drops actor Navid Mohammadzadeh after pro-Palestine backlash. Iranian regime fall by end of 2026 at 6.5% YES.