SportsLine's proven model simulated the 2025 Farmers Insurance Open 10,000 times and revealed its surprising PGA Tour golf picks

With 18 holes remaining at the 2025 American Express in the California desert, Sepp Straka owns the lead at 23 under. He's four shots clear of Charley Hoffman, Jason Day and Justin Lower at 19 under. There were several PGA Tour stars who missed the cut Saturday afternoon including Wyndham Clark, Tony Finau and Tom Kim.

The PGA Tour 's third event of the 2025 season is upon us, as many of the world's best descend upon Southern California for The American Express. Several top players, including Justin Thomas and Tony Finau, are in the field. They will look to take Nick Dunlap's crown. Dunlap made history, winning the American Express as an amateur in 2024.