Iran, Israel and Oil
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Although the U.S. is a net oil exporter, higher oil prices could increase inflation and lower economic growth.
A sustained rise in the price of crude oil, which jumped sharply after Israel attacked Iran, could hurt consumers and President Trump’s efforts to bring down energy costs.
A sustained surge in oil prices is likely to complicate the U.S. fight against inflation. A $10-a-barrel increase would boost year-over-year growth in the consumer-price index by 0.5 percentage points,
Rather, it is geopolitical factors—specifically, escalating tensions in the Middle East—that are unsettling markets and pushing prices higher.
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy says rising global oil prices following Israeli strikes on Iran will strengthen Russia by increasing its oil revenues, aiding its war effort in Ukraine.
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The recent Israel-Iran conflict led to a dramatic shift in the markets as the price of the benchmark Brent crude oil rose more than 10%, hitting its highest point since January. On June 13, it closed at $75.
Diamondback Energy stock rose 5% and Occidental Petroleum rose nearly 5% as a swathe of energy-related stocks reacted to a jump in crude prices after Israel's attack on Iran. Conoco-Phillips' stock rose 4%, ExxonMobil rose 3% and Chevron gained 2.7%.
Oil prices rose more than 9 percent and the Asian stock market dived on Friday morning after Israel launched attacks on Iran. Brent surged to $78 a barrel in the biggest intraday gain since March 2022,